When immoral crimes go unpunished due to a corrupt legal system, violence often follows. That judge isn’t the first, nor will be the last, to learn that claiming to be “above the law” offers no real protection. A fair and functional legal system is essential for a less violent society. When justice isn’t applied equally, violence rises. Laws don’t prevent violence—they only punish it afterward. I imagine many people’s last words were some version of “too bad, because that’s illegal.”

Crazy that is already 60% instead of 64% since you posted this. No deeper comment there other than just noting how fluid this election is. We are one Harris mistake (and remember, mistake tolerance for Harris is significantly lower than Trump; Trump is basically one long series of mistakes that has little effect on his numbers; if Harris mispronounces Gaza once she loses 5%), one unexpected event, one butterfly-wing flap from those numbers going to even or worse.

40% of the time Trump wins. 40% of the time, an authoritarian leader assumes the presidency of the most powerful country in the world.

I stand by my statement that no Harris supporter should feel confident or comfortable. That’s… frighteningly high.

This post is further evidence that everyone should be required to take a statistics course. It’s like saying “statistical probability says there is a 66.6% chance of me rolling this six-sided die and getting a 1, 2, 3, or 4, but I rolled a 5, so that model is WRONG!!”

I hope you can see how dumb that sounds.

Additionally, Lichtman referred to the popular vote in his book, essay on the topic (neither of which I assume you’ve read), and in all previous predictions. So he was actually wrong about his 2016 prediction given Trump lost the popular vote, much though Lichtman has tried to revise history since then.

Just a clarification, Silver doesn’t run a fork of the old 538 model. He took the model with him. 538 developed their own after he left.

As I recall, in terms of the electoral college, neither Biden nor Harris have, at any point, been projected to beat Trump. It’s not “becoming” scary, it’s been scary for quite some time.

Cool cool. LMK

Aahh, that makes sense.

Yes, the socialists have definitely been winning this epic fight.

What is a “canada”?

It seems seems dubious to me too. But the ‘gr’ in migrants would sound roughly the same as ‘gger.’ The problem is… well. He seems to start it with an ‘n’ and then also mis-inflects the ‘i’?

It would be like trying to say ‘clickable’ and instead saying ‘slacker.’

Mad sus.

👍

Was a nobody. You’re literally reading about it on social media and news sites and having a conversation about it with strangers now.

He was a nobody and was writing things no one was reading.

But why just that one? You’d think they’d replace it. Makes it look purposeful, like they were trying out a new funny font.

It’s cool, that works. He downvoted it, so I guess it served its purpose. 😄

K

🙄

Ok but fr what is going on there

Wait. Cmon dude. Trump says “fight” and people scream stochastic terrorism, this guy says you’re free to kill Trump if you’re not a coward and you’re like “naw, that’s just poetic license?” Don’t be obtuse.

I live in a state with very loose gun laws and a high percentage of gun ownership, and I started learning how to identify where people “print” on their bodies and identifying people concealed carrying. Then I started googling random stickers I would see on cars in front of me at drive thrus or just walking around.

I was honestly shocked at how many people are, or are likely, carrying a pistol. And how many people advertise it with their choice of clothes, brands, bumper stickers, etc. Once you start seeing it, it’s everywhere.

The most obvious ones are the ones that basically buy all the “grey man” clothes. They scream “I’M ARMED, LOOK AT ALL THE ALMOST NORMAL LOOKING, NON-DESCRIPT TACTICAL CLOTHING I’M WEARING.” 🤣

Like sure, dude, you’re just a guy with a beard and an over-curled hat brim that “happens” to like wearing a fanny pack with your cargo shorts.

I was at Target buying bar soap and they sell a “tactical” shower caddy where you can put your manly, camo loofah and your body beating beast bar soap. At Target! I’ll tell you what, a camo loofah ain’t communicating what they think it is lol

Didn’t it literally just happen there like two weeks ago when LAPD TSD used force against someone evading fare and they ran, jumped onto the tracks, and were then electrocuted and run over by a train?

LA metro rail has yearly ridership of a little less than 62 million.

NYC has yearly ridership of over 1.3 BILLION.

These aren’t remotely the same systems.