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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • I think a critical detail getting overlooked in the broader discussion of the changes brought by LLM AI is not quality but quantity. What I mean is, sure, AI isn’t going to replace any one complete worker. There are vanishingly few jobs AI can 100% take over. But it can do 80% of a few jobs, 50% of more jobs, and 20% of a lot of jobs.

    So at the company level, where you had to hire 100 workers to do something, now you only need 80, or 50, or 20. That’s still individual people who are out of their entire job because AI did some or most of it, and their bosses consolidated the rest of the responsibilities onto the remaining workers.


  • “Calls” and “puts” are types of contracts about buying/selling stocks (they aren’t the stock themselves but are centered around a given stock and its trading price, so they are called “derivatives” as they are “derived” from the stock).

    A put is a contract that allows the buyer of the contract to sell stock at an agreed upon price to the seller of the contract, regardless of the current trading price. They are used for a variety of reasons. In one usage, someone who is buying some of the stock at the current trading price may also buy a “put” on the stock at a slightly lower price. This way, they spend a little more money at the time of buying the stock, but if the trading price plummets, they can still sell it at that slightly lower “put” price and not lose too much money.

    In this case, the idea would be to buy a “put” (without buying the stock at the same time) when the buyer thinks the stock’s trading price is overvalued. Then when the price falls below the “puts” agreed upon value, buy the stock at the lower price and immediately invoke the contract to sell at the "put"s higher price.